Document Type

Article

Publication Title

Ecological Economics

Publisher

Elsevier

Publication Date

6-2015

Publisher location

Amsterdam, Netherlands

First Page

180

Last Page

187

Volume Number

114

Abstract/ Summary

In recent work, we asserted that the largest group of stakeholders for sustainability science is future generations; yet intergenerational tradeoffs are often understudied. We proposed retrospective assessment as one potential means of clarifying what future preferences might be. Using a split-sample design we test the potential for retrospective assessment to influence citizens' preferences for future policy decision. We test the potential for retrospective assessment to yield increased or decreased support for policy. Our findings reveal context dependent public policy preferences where the presence of retrospective assessment significantly impacts citizens' preferences and outcomes appear strongly influenced by the attributes of the historical (or retrospective) scenario provided.

Citation/Publisher Attribution

Noblet, C.L., M.W. Anderson, M.F. Teisl. 2015. Thinking past, thinking future: An empirical test of the effects of retrospective assessment on future preferences. Ecological Economics, Volume 114, June 2015, Pages 180–187. Doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.04.002

Publisher Statement

© 2015 Elsevier B.V.

DOI

10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.04.002

Version

post-print (i.e. final draft post-refereeing with all author corrections and edits)

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